City growth data inaccurate, say local brokers

by BN03 Jul 2012

Hobart emerged as Australia’s best-performing capital city in the RP Data-Rismark Home Value Index’s June data, although experts believe it does not accurately reflect the state of the market.

The southern city had the biggest rise in the value of property, at 2.7 per cent for the month of June.

Speaking with Australian Broker Online, Tassie Home Loan’s managing director Robert Brand was sceptical of the results.

“I don’t think this reflects what is actually happening down here. They’re being ultra-conservative and pushing prices down. The median price moves up, which isn’t an indicator of real value…just lack of activity in the South. No one is seeing any increase.”

Chris Groves, of Hobart-based Financial Advisory Service agreed.

“This definitely surprises me. The growth here has been very slow. Prices have dropped considerably, and not much is selling at all. I’ve been in this business for 21 years, so I know most of the brokers in Tasmania, and we’re all experiencing the same thing.”

“It could be down to refinancing. We’re seeing a lot more of that down here…we’re not seeing any new applications coming through,” he said.

Meanwhile, the figures showed an overall growth rate of 1 per cent across Australian capital cities, defying the normally weak June period.

Both RP Data research director Tim Lawless and Rismark International’s CEO Ben Skilbeck attributed the growth to the RBA’s recent cuts.

 “The rebound in capital city home values during June indicates that the RBA’s relaxed monetary policy stance may have reached the point of inflating asset prices despite households remaining cautious about the economy,” said Skilbeck.

 “The increase in capital city dwelling values is an encouraging sign that the market appears to be responding to improved housing affordability and lower interest rates,” said Lawless.



  • by Graeme 4/07/2012 9:30:10 AM

    For another perspective, Residex's national metro results and commentary are normally released around the 20th of the month. The report is free.