High risk LVR lending remains high

More than one third of all loans at the end of last year had a loan to value ratio of greater than 80%, the latest APRA data shows – but does Australia need to follow in NZ's footsteps and reduce lending to risky mortgagees?

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More than one third of all loans at the end of last year had a loan to value ratio of greater than 80%, the latest Australian Prudential Regulation Authority data shows.

APRA’s domestic Australian Authorised Deposit-taking Institutions property exposure for the December 2013 quarter shows 34.4% of all new loans had an LVR of more than 80%, down slightly from 34.6% over the September 2013 quarter and the same proportion as in the December 2012 quarter. 

Commentator Cameron Kusher, senior research analyst at RP Data, called it “intriguing” that the proportion of higher LVR lending remains high, when these loans are “inherently more risky”. 

Only 13.6% of total lending over the last quarter was for a LVR of more than 90% compared to 20.8% on an LVR of between 80% and 90%. 

“These mortgages are typically insured so the risk to the ADI itself is lessened, however it doesn’t necessarily reduce the overall market risk if we see arrears and default levels climb in the future,” Kusher said.

Major banks accounted for almost all the increase in low deposit home loans over the last year, which could be seen a sign of willingness to stretch credit criteria to maintain volume growth.

The high proportion of loans with an LVR of more than 80% is topical, after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in October reduced the amount NZ banks can lend to higher risk mortgages, with only 10% of total lending for loans with an LVR of more than 80%.

MFAA CEO Phil Naylor said while regulators here are “certainly aware” of the issue, he does not believe Australia needs to follow NZ’s lead to curtail loan amounts to risky potential mortgagees.

“We’ve seen no indication the current Australian LVR profile is giving [APRA] such concern.”

The NZ position has the effect of punishing the whole market for some "apparent overheating" in the Auckland market, he said.
 
 
 

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